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{"id":4792,"date":"2022-11-24T15:36:56","date_gmt":"2022-11-24T22:36:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bonbonsguide.com\/wp\/?p=4792"},"modified":"2022-11-24T15:36:56","modified_gmt":"2022-11-24T22:36:56","slug":"world-cup-group-stage-tiebreaker-odds-2531","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bonbonsguide.com\/wp\/blog\/2022\/11\/world-cup-group-stage-tiebreaker-odds-2531\/","title":{"rendered":"World Cup Group Stage Tiebreaker Odds – 2531"},"content":{"rendered":"

The World Cup is now in group stage. Each group has four teams. The top two teams advance to the knockout stage. This video explains the 7 tiebreaker steps, and uses Microsoft Excel to analyze the 729 permutations that can happen in any one group. How likely is it that the tiebreaker will need to be used?<\/p>\n

Table of Contents<\/p>\n

(0:00) World Cup Group Stage Scoring
\n(1:00) Tiebreaker rules
\n(1:50) Odds of a tiebreaker
\n(2:20) Excel Model for one group
\n(2:50) TEXTSPLIT function
\n(3:22) Excel Trace Dependents
\n(3:45) Scoring & Sorting
\n(4:10) Detecting a Tie
\n(4:41) Why 729 permutations
\n(4:53) 28% tiebreaker chance
\n(5:46) Six draws leads to 12 points
\n(6:04) 18 points total
\n(6:40) Which results have a tie?
\n(7:28) Excel behind the scenes
\n(8:00) 7 answers from 6 inputs
\n(9:19) Contemplated VBA
\n(9:39) Multiple input cells to Excel data table
\n(10:49) Generating 729 input cells
\n(12:44) Setting up the Data Table
\n(14:51) Paste results as values<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The World Cup is now in group stage. Each group has four teams. The top two teams advance to the knockout stage. This video explains the 7 tiebreaker steps, and uses Microsoft Excel to analyze the 729 permutations that can happen in any one group. How likely is it that the tiebreaker will need to […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4794,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,142,138],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/bonbonsguide.com\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/ti2IPoNiHSs.jpg?fit=1280%2C720&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7QB1z-1fi","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bonbonsguide.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4792"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bonbonsguide.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bonbonsguide.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bonbonsguide.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bonbonsguide.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4792"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bonbonsguide.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4792\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bonbonsguide.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4794"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bonbonsguide.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4792"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bonbonsguide.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4792"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bonbonsguide.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4792"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}